Survival Test
The doctrine's pair test — N moments spaced across the period, opening long and short with the same adaptive manager. Measures the arbitrary-side floor.
The pair test
Fires N moments spaced across the chosen period. At each moment, opens long and short with the same adaptive manager (grid with stop, trailing, pyramid and breakeven). Measures the arbitrary-side floor of the doctrine: if the net sum ≥ 0 without fees, the manager survives on either side. If it doesn’t survive even on long, it doesn’t survive.
What it measures
The survival test fires N moments (e.g., 20) spaced across the period. At each moment, opens long and short with the same adaptive manager. Measures:
- Net sum without fees — if Σ ≥ 0, the manager survives on either side
- Positive pairs — count of pairs that close green
- Per-moment breakdown — for diagnosing where the manager dies
When to use it
Before testing any reading. Don’t test if your reading has edge. Test if your floor holds.
If the manager doesn’t survive even on an arbitrary side, no reading can save it. If it survives, you have the right to look for an edge that beats the floor — anything less is overfitting.
In the doctrine method
This is the floor step. See the doctrine page for the full method: Foundation → Floor → Setup → Optimization.