verida.trade CT Lab · verida.trade
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Doctrine

The method that decides whether a strategy has the right to exist — Foundation, Floor, Setup, Optimization.

The doctrine of CT Lab by verida.trade is not a strategy. It is a method to decide whether a strategy has the right to exist.

Central thesis

Before winning, learn not to lose.

The future is unknowable. Indicators are features of the past. Without structure, E[P&L] = 0. Risk is derived from probability, not from preference.

The method

  1. Foundation. Measure the structure of the price path (ct_medir_estrutura). If there is no structure, there is no possible edge — any setup is an illusion.
  2. Floor. Run the survival test (ct_testar_sobrevivencia). If the manager doesn’t survive even on an arbitrary side, no reading can save it.
  3. Setup. Only after the floor validates: look for a reading that beats the pair test result. If the setup doesn’t beat the floor, discard.
  4. Optimization. Refine parameters, validate with walk-forward, measure robustness. No overfitting — always compare against the floor.

The pair test

N moments spaced across the period. At each moment, opens long and short with the same adaptive manager. If the net sum ≥ 0 without fees, the manager survives on either side. If it doesn’t survive even on long, it doesn’t survive. It’s not a profitability test. It’s a test of the right to exist.

1. buscar_serie
2. ct_medir_estrutura
3. salvar_lib (manager)
4. ct_testar_sobrevivencia
5. decide

For the brand-level discussion, see the public doctrine page.